THC (2025 - Q2)

Release Date: Jul 22, 2025

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Stock Data provided by Financial Modeling Prep

Current Financial Performance

Tenet Healthcare Q2 2025 Highlights

$5.3 billion
Net Operating Revenues
$1.121 billion
Adjusted EBITDA
+19%
21.3%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin
+2.8%
$743 million
Free Cash Flow

Key Financial Metrics

USPI Adjusted EBITDA

$498 million
11%

Hospital Adjusted EBITDA

$623 million
25%

USPI Adjusted EBITDA Margin

39.2%

Hospital Adjusted EBITDA Margin

15.6%

Salary, Wages & Benefits % of Revenues

41%

Contract Labor Expense % of SWB

2%

Period Comparison Analysis

Net Operating Revenues

$5.3 billion
Current
Previous:$5.2 billion
1.9% QoQ

Adjusted EBITDA

$1.121 billion
Current
Previous:$1.163 billion
3.6% QoQ

Adjusted EBITDA Margin

21.3%
Current
Previous:22.3%
4.5% QoQ

Adjusted EBITDA Margin

21.3%
Current
Previous:18.5%
15.1% YoY

USPI Adjusted EBITDA

$498 million
Current
Previous:$56 million
789.3% QoQ

Hospital Adjusted EBITDA

$623 million
Current
Previous:$707 million
11.9% QoQ

Hospital Adjusted EBITDA

$623 million
Current
Previous:$498 million
25.1% YoY

Same-Store Hospital Admissions Growth

1.6%
Current
Previous:4.4%
63.6% QoQ

Same-Store Hospital Admissions Growth

1.6%
Current
Previous:5.2%
69.2% YoY

Financial Health & Ratios

Key Financial Ratios

2.45x
Leverage Ratio (EBITDA)
3.11x
Leverage Ratio (EBITDA less NCI)
$2.6 billion
Cash on Hand
3.1x
Net Debt to EBITDA less NCI

Financial Guidance & Outlook

2025 Adjusted EBITDA Guidance

$4.4 to $4.54 billion
12%

2025 Net Operating Revenues Guidance

$20.95 to $21.25 billion

2025 USPI Adjusted EBITDA Guidance

$1.99 to $2.05 billion

2025 Hospital Adjusted EBITDA Guidance

$2.41 to $2.49 billion

2025 Free Cash Flow Guidance

$2.025 to $2.275 billion

Surprises

Adjusted EBITDA Beat

+19%

$1.121 billion

We delivered strong results in the second quarter of 2025, with adjusted EBITDA well above the high end of our guidance range, driven by strong fundamentals.

Adjusted EBITDA Margin Improvement

21.3%

Second quarter 2025 adjusted EBITDA margin of 21.3% represents a 280 basis point improvement over the prior year.

USPI Adjusted EBITDA Growth

$498 million

USPI continues to deliver. We generated $498 million in adjusted EBITDA, which represents 11% growth over quarter 2024.

Hospital Segment Adjusted EBITDA Growth

$623 million

Turning to our hospital segment, adjusted EBITDA grew 25% to $623 million in the second quarter of 2025.

Free Cash Flow Generation

$743 million

We generated $743 million of free cash flow in the second quarter, and as of June 30, 2025, we had $2.6 billion of cash on hand.

Exchange Volume Growth

23% increase in admissions

For the second quarter of 2025, we saw about a 23% increase in admissions year over year from healthcare exchange volumes.

Exchange Revenue Growth

28% increase in revenues

We saw about a 28% increase in revenues from exchange year over year in the second quarter.

Impact Quotes

We are raising our full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance to a range of $4.4 to $4.54 billion, which represents an increase of $395 million or 10% roughly at the midpoint of the range of our prior guidance.

The high acuity strategy continues to deliver results, driving revenue and earnings growth across our hospital portfolio.

USPI delivered a 7.7% increase in same system-wide revenues, with net revenue per case up 8.3% and case volumes down 0.6%, reflecting our continued disciplined shift towards higher acuity services.

We have deployed AI-enabled technologies that allow us to produce more rapid automated responses to various types of disputes, based upon pattern recognition, making our revenue cycle more reliable and faster.

We generated $498 million in adjusted EBITDA at USPI, which represents 11% growth over quarter 2024.

Our philosophy with health plans is to work consistently to create value and predictability over a multiyear period, enabling both parties to manage their operations effectively.

We generated $743 million of free cash flow in the second quarter and have $2.6 billion of cash on hand with no borrowings outstanding under our $1.5 billion line of credit facility.

We are committed to a culture of quality, transparency, and compliance, which drives our operational success and outperformance.

Notable Topics Discussed

  • Management views the potential removal of the inpatient-only rule as positive for USPI, enabling more outpatient procedures, but emphasizes the need for clinical expertise and patient selection.
  • The move is seen as an opportunity for growth, with the company well-positioned due to its advanced ASC capabilities.
  • Uncertainty remains around regulatory implementation and the broader impact on hospital and ASC business models.
  • The company expects to exceed its $250 million M&A spend target for 2025, driven by a strong pipeline.
  • Focus on high-acuity procedures such as spine, orthopedics, and neurosurgery, with eight new centers added in the quarter.
  • Investments in expanding the network are aligned with demographic trends and high-acuity service line priorities.
  • Recognized a $79 million favorable pre-tax impact from Medicaid supplemental payments in Q2 2025, including Tennessee.
  • The company’s normalized Medicaid supplemental revenue run rate is around $1.1-$1.2 billion for 2025.
  • Uncertainty remains regarding future legislative impacts on Medicaid provider taxes and subsidies beyond 2027.
  • The company’s high-acuity strategy continues to deliver strong results, with growth in cardiovascular, orthopedic, spine, and trauma services.
  • Emergency-driven trauma cases contribute to sicker patient populations and complex surgeries, supporting margin expansion.
  • Despite volume deceleration, underlying demand remains strong, with a focus on service line prioritization.
  • USPI has industry-leading revenue cycle capabilities, with ongoing investments in standardization, automation, and analytical tools.
  • Use of AI and offshore staffing has improved collection efficiency and dispute resolution.
  • Enhanced documentation and coding accuracy are key to reducing disputes and improving cash flow.
  • Exchange volumes increased 23% year-over-year in Q2 2025, representing about 8% of total admissions.
  • The growth in exchange is partly driven by Medicaid redetermination and serves as a safety net for insured populations.
  • Payer mix improvements are partly attributable to exchange growth, but underlying demand remains robust outside of exchanges.
  • The hospital segment’s adjusted EBITDA margin increased by 300 basis points to 15.6%.
  • Efficient labor management, including offshore staffing and improved recruiting, has contributed to lower wages and benefits as a percentage of revenue.
  • Focus on high acuity and demand-driven staffing supports margin expansion.
  • The company generated $743 million in free cash flow in Q2 2025 and repurchased 7.2 million shares for $1.1 billion in H1.
  • Leverage ratio remains low at 2.45x EBITDA, with no significant debt maturities until 2027.
  • The company maintains a balanced approach to share repurchases, M&A, and debt management, with a focus on deleveraging and shareholder value.
  • The company emphasizes the importance of extending exchange subsidies to support small businesses and Medicaid redetermination.
  • Uncertainty remains around legislative impacts on provider taxes and subsidies beyond 2027, with ongoing lobbying efforts.
  • The company advocates for policies that sustain the safety net and support high-quality, efficient healthcare delivery.

Key Insights:

  • Full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance was raised to $4.4 to $4.54 billion, a $395 million increase or roughly 10% at midpoint.
  • Consolidated net operating revenues guidance increased by $300 million to $20.95 to $21.25 billion.
  • USPI 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance increased by $70 million to $1.99 to $2.05 billion, with same-facility revenue growth expected between 4% to 7%.
  • Hospital segment 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance increased by $325 million to $2.41 to $2.49 billion, with same hospital admissions growth lowered by 50 basis points to 1.5% to 2.5%.
  • Free cash flow after non-controlling interest is expected between $1.245 to $1.445 billion, up $195 million at midpoint.
  • Capital allocation priorities remain focused on USPI M&A, hospital growth investments, debt refinancing, and balanced share repurchases.
  • Third quarter 2025 adjusted EBITDA expected to be 22.5% to 23.5% of full-year consolidated adjusted EBITDA.
  • USPI added eight new centers specializing in high acuity procedures such as spine, orthopedics, and neurosurgery.
  • Strong growth in high acuity service lines including cardiovascular, orthopedic, spine, neurosurgery, robotics, trauma, and emergency departments.
  • Continued disciplined shift towards higher acuity services in USPI with net revenue per case up 8.3%.
  • Significant investments in hospital network expansion to support market growth and demographic trends.
  • Focus on efficient labor management, improved recruiting, retention, and investments in nursing and hospital management.
  • Use of advanced technology and AI-enabled tools in revenue cycle management and collections through Conifer.
  • Robust pipeline for M&A opportunities with expectations to exceed $250 million baseline spend in 2025.
  • Management emphasized a culture of quality, transparency, and compliance as core to operational success.
  • CEO Saumya Sutaria highlighted the importance of high acuity strategy driving hospital segment growth and margin expansion.
  • Management stressed the value of long-term, predictable payer contracts and effective negotiation strategies.
  • The company is adapting to increased payer denials and disputes with technology, automation, and offshore staffing to improve collections.
  • Management underscored the critical role of healthcare exchanges in supporting small businesses and Medicaid redetermination.
  • Leadership remains confident in the company’s ability to deliver on increased guidance and shareholder value through disciplined operations.
  • The company is focused on maintaining a deleveraged balance sheet and financial flexibility to support capital priorities.
  • Labor management improvements and investments in nursing and management have contributed to favorable salary, wages, and benefits expense trends.
  • Management highlighted the importance of extending healthcare exchange subsidies for 2026 and beyond but provided no specific guidance on 2026.
  • Payer contracting remains stable with no unusual changes; denial and dispute activity has increased but is managed effectively with technology and Conifer’s capabilities.
  • Hospital volume guidance was lowered slightly due to seasonality, with no unusual volume disruptions noted.
  • USPI’s revenue cycle capabilities and technology investments have contributed to improved documentation, claims management, and revenue growth.
  • Healthcare exchange volumes increased significantly, representing about 8% of admissions and 7% of revenues, with a 23% increase in admissions year-over-year.
  • Management views the potential elimination of the inpatient-only rule as an opportunity for ASCs, leveraging their expertise in higher acuity procedures.
  • The company recognized a $79 million favorable pre-tax impact from additional Medicaid supplemental revenues in Q2 2025, compared to $30 million in Q2 2024.
  • No significant debt maturities are due until 2027, supporting financial stability.
  • The company’s leverage ratio and free cash flow generation provide flexibility for capital deployment including M&A and share repurchases.
  • Discussions on legislative and regulatory environment focus on healthcare exchanges and provider tax impacts, with ongoing uncertainty beyond 2025.
  • The company does not comment on potential hospital asset sales but remains satisfied with its current portfolio performance.
  • Management is actively engaged in lobbying efforts to extend healthcare exchange subsidies and address regulatory issues.
  • Seasonality and macroeconomic factors influence volume trends but underlying demand remains strong.
  • The company’s capital allocation balances growth investments, debt management, and shareholder returns.
  • Management emphasizes the importance of accurate documentation and coding to reduce payer disputes and denials.
  • Conifer’s revenue cycle platform is a competitive advantage, leveraging technology and offshore resources.
  • Exchange business behaves more like Medicaid with higher emergency department-driven volumes.
  • The high acuity strategy is central to margin expansion and revenue growth in the hospital segment.
Complete Transcript:
THC:2025 - Q2
Will McDowell:
Good morning. Welcome to Tenet Healthcare Corporation's second quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. After the speakers' remarks, there will be a question and answer session for industry analysts. Can I respectfully ask that analysts limit themselves to one question each? I'll now turn the call over to your host, Mr. Will McDowell, Vice President of Investor Relations. Mr. McDowell, you may begin. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining today's call. I am Will McDowell, Vice President of Investor Relations. Saumya Sutari
Saumya Sutaria:
Pleased to have you join us for a discussion of Tenet Healthcare Corporation's second quarter 2025 results, as well as a discussion of our financial outlook. Tenet Healthcare Corporation's senior management participating in today's call will be Dr. Saumya Sutaria, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, and Sun Park, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Our webcast this morning includes a slide presentation that has been posted to the Investor Relations section of our website, tenethealth.com. Listeners to this call are advised that certain statements made during our discussion today are forward-looking and represent management's expectations based on currently available information. Actual results and plans could differ materially. Tenet Healthcare Corporation is under no obligation to update any forward-looking statements based on subsequent information. Investors should take note of the cautionary statement slide included in today's presentation as well as the risk factors discussed in our most recent Form 10-Ks and other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. And with that, I'll turn the call over to Saumya Sutaria. Thank you, Will, and good morning, everyone.
Sun Park:
The second quarter continues our track record of strong outperformance in each of our businesses. We reported second quarter 2025 net operating revenues of $5.3 billion and consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $1.121 billion, which represents growth of 19% over 2024. Second quarter 2025 adjusted EBITDA margin of 21.3% represents a 280 basis point improvement over the prior year, driven by strong same-store growth and very efficient operating performance. USPI continues to deliver. We generated $498 million in adjusted EBITDA, which represents 11% growth over quarter 2024. Same facility revenues grew 7.7% in the second quarter, highlighted by a 12.6% growth in total joint replacements in the ASCs over the prior year. We added eight new centers in the quarter, including facilities specializing in high acuity procedures such as spine, orthopedics, and neurosurgery. We continue to see a robust pipeline for M&A opportunities and expect to exceed our baseline intention for $250 million of M&A spend in 2025. Turning to our hospital segment, adjusted EBITDA grew 25% to $623 million in the second quarter of 2025. Same-store hospital admissions were up 1.6% in the quarter. Second quarter 2025 revenue per adjusted admission was up 5.2% over the prior year as payer mix and acuity remained strong. We are making significant investments to expand our network to support growth in our markets and have confidence that the demographic trends, our high acuity service line priorities, and our efficient operating platform can generate ongoing returns in this segment. We have also reduced overhead given we downsized our hospital portfolio. Our results in both segments exceeded our expectations and extend our track record of consistently strong fundamental execution. We continue to capitalize on our compelling valuation and have deployed $1.1 billion to repurchase 7.2 million shares in the first half of 2025. As we noted in our release, the board of directors has authorized a $1.5 billion increase to our share repurchase program. Turning to our full-year guidance, at this point in the year, we are raising our full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance to a range of $4.4 to $4.54 billion, which represents an increase of $395 million or 10% roughly at the midpoint of the range of our prior guidance. The guidance increase is supported by fundamental strength in our businesses and expectations for continued growth. In summary, we continue to deliver on our commitments to a strong balance sheet and significantly improved free cash flow generation. Finally, in closing, we are committed to a culture of quality, transparency, and compliance. This culture permeates our business and is reflected in the dedication of our colleagues and caregivers that go to work each day to care for our patients and communities that we serve. We are pleased that these are the values that we have instilled into our organization, which continue to drive results and outperformance. And with that, Sun Park will provide a more detailed review of our financial results. Sun, turning it over to you.
Sun Park:
Thank you, Saumya Sutaria. Good morning, everyone. We delivered strong results in the second quarter of 2025, with adjusted EBITDA well above the high end of our guidance range, driven by strong fundamentals, including same-store revenue growth, continued high patient acuity, favorable payer mix, and effective cost controls. We generated total net operating revenues of $5.3 billion and consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $1.121 billion, a 19% increase over the second quarter of 2024. Second quarter adjusted EBITDA margin was 21.3%, a 280 basis point improvement over the prior year. I would now like to highlight some key items for each of our segments. Beginning with USPI, which again delivered strong operating results. In the second quarter, USPI's adjusted EBITDA grew 11% over last year, with adjusted EBITDA margin at 39.2%. USPI delivered a 7.7% increase in same system-wide revenues, with net revenue per case up 8.3% and case volumes down 0.6%, reflecting our continued disciplined shift towards higher acuity services. Turning now to our hospital segment, second quarter adjusted EBITDA was $623 million, with margins up 300 basis points over last year at 15.6%. Same hospital inpatient admissions increased 1.6%, and revenue per adjusted admissions grew 5.2%. Our consolidated salary, wages, and benefits were 41% of net revenues, a 140 basis point improvement from the prior year. And our contract labor expense, which was of consolidated SWB expense. This improvement has been driven by our data-driven approach to capacity and labor management and disciplined operating expense controls. Finally, we recognized a $79 million favorable pre-tax impact for additional Medicaid supplemental revenues related to prior periods in the second quarter of 2025. This includes the recently approved program in Tennessee. As a reminder, our second quarter 2024 results included a $30 million favorable pre-tax impact for additional Medicaid supplemental revenues related to the prior year. Next, we will discuss our cash flow, balance sheet, and capital structures. We generated $743 million of free cash flow in the second quarter, and as of June 30, 2025, we had $2.6 billion of cash on hand, with no borrowings outstanding under our $1.5 billion line of credit facility. Additionally, we have no significant debt maturities until 2027. And finally, during the second quarter, we repurchased 4.6 million shares of our stock for $747 million, and year-to-date through June 30, we have repurchased 7.2 million shares for $1.1 billion. Our leverage ratio as of June 30, 2025, was 2.45x EBITDA or 3.11 times EBITDA less NCI. Driven by our outstanding operational performance and continued focus on financial discipline, we are very pleased with our ongoing cash flow generation capabilities and remain committed to a deleveraged balance sheet. We believe we have significant financial flexibility to support our capital allocation priorities and drive shareholder value. Let me now turn to our outlook for 2025. For 2025, we now expect consolidated net operating revenues in the range of $20.95 to $21.25 billion, an increase of $300 million over prior expectations. As Saumya Sutaria mentioned, we are raising our 2025 adjusted EBITDA outlook by $395 million at the midpoint to $4.4 to $4.54 billion, reflecting the strong fundamental performance of our business. At the midpoint of our range, we now expect our full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA to grow 12% over 2024. At USPI, we are now expecting 2025 adjusted EBITDA of $1.99 to $2.05 billion, a $70 million increase from prior expectations. In addition, we have increased our assumption for same facility USPI revenue growth by 100 basis points to 4% to 7% for 2025. In hospitals, we are raising our 2025 adjusted EBITDA by $325 million at the midpoint to $2.41 to $2.49 billion. Additionally, we are lowering our assumption for same hospital admissions growth by 50 basis points to 1.5% to 2.5% for 2025. Finally, we expect third quarter 2025 to be in the range of 22.5% to 23.5% of our full-year consolidated adjusted EBITDA. At the midpoint, we expect third quarter 2025 USPI EBITDA to be in the range of 23.5% to 24.5% of our full-year USPI adjusted EBITDA at the midpoint. Turning to our cash flows for 2025, we now expect free cash flows in the range of $2.025 to $2.275 billion, distributions to non-controlling interest in the range of $780 to $830 million, resulting in free cash flow after NCI in the range of $1.245 to $1.445 billion, an increase of $195 million at the midpoint of our range from prior outlook. Turning now to our capital deployment priorities, we are well-positioned to create value for shareholders through the effective deployment of free cash flow, and our priorities have not changed. First, we will continue to prioritize capital investments to grow USPI through M&A. Second, we expect to continue investing in key hospital growth opportunities to fuel organic growth, including our focus on higher acuity service offerings. Third, we will evaluate opportunities to retire and/or refinance debt. And finally, we'll continue to have a balanced approach to share repurchases, depending on market conditions and other investment opportunities. As Saumya Sutaria noted, our board of directors has recently authorized a $1.5 billion increase to our share repurchase program. We continue to deliver consistent growth and have disciplined operations, which has translated into outstanding financial results. We are confident in our ability to deliver on our increased outlook for 2025 as we continue to provide high-quality care for those in the communities we serve. And with that, now ready to begin the Q&A. Operator?
Operator:
Thank you. At this time, we'll be conducting a question and answer session. As a reminder, Tenet Healthcare Corporation respectfully asks that analysts limit themselves to one question each. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. Our first question comes from A.J. Rice with UBS. Please proceed with your question.
A.J. Rice:
Hi, everybody. I might just ask about two aspects of the backdrop in Washington. The proposed rule on outpatient hospital care as the elimination of potentially of the inpatient-only rule. Can you just comment on what you think that might mean for your hospital and ASC business if that were to go through? And then just any updated figures on the public exchange volumes, how that contributed into the quarter, what you're seeing year to year, and do you have any updated thoughts on what the outlook for next year might be if the enhanced subsidies go away?
Saumya Sutaria:
Hey, A.J. Rice. It's Saumya Sutaria. So thanks for the questions. The first one, you know, obviously, enabling additional innovation in the ASCs is positive for the USPI business. You know, I think about it this way, which is one is the reimbursement allowable reimbursement and certainly, you know, this move is positive. At the same time, it takes work and experience in higher acuity ASC procedures to actually be able to successfully move those things from an inpatient setting to an outpatient setting. And as you know, the patient selection criteria and expertise make a big difference there. So that you're doing the right things clinically. Those are all areas in which we're pretty advanced as an ASC operator and platform. So I think it plays to our advantages. I think it represents an opportunity for the future. For sure, and I also think it gives us a platform to work with physicians to build the right protocols for many of these things to move into that more freestanding setting with the right patient selection. Sun Park, do you want to comment on the update on our exchange volumes? I would say just as a summary statement there, A.J. Rice, obviously, the efforts to lobby for their extension and importantly, the critical role they play in supporting small businesses and employees of small businesses in America is an added benefit of the exchanges that is obviously part of the discussion today.
Sun Park:
Yeah. Thank you, Saumya Sutaria. And just to add, you know, obviously, healthcare exchange remains an important part of our business. For the second quarter of 2025, we saw about a 23% increase in admissions year over year. We saw about a 28% increase in revenues from exchange year over year. In the second quarter, exchange volume now represents about 8% of our total admissions and about 7% of total consolidated Tenet Healthcare Corporation revenues.
Operator:
Our next question comes from Josh Raskin with Nephron Research. Please proceed with your question.
Josh Raskin:
Hi, thanks. Good morning. I was wondering if you could just give some more specifics on the outperformance in the core results, and I'm specifically looking at the incremental $70 million on the USPI side, the increase in guidance. And then within that, is there anything Tenet Healthcare Corporation has done specifically to improve your ability to sort of document, categorize patients as you submit claims? Are there new systems, new technologies, new vendors or partners? And obviously, anything relating to AI, I'd be curious if there's new things that you're doing within there.
Saumya Sutaria:
Hey, Josh Raskin. Well, going, you know, kind of going backwards, we have the USPI has its own significant revenue cycle capability. We think it's an industry-leading capability. It's an environment that mostly serves our own ASCs, but certainly serves ASCs beyond that. We're pretty busy in advancing a lot of those capabilities. I mean, it is not difficult for me to say that some of the improvement in our results over the last few years has been related to real standardization, technology deployment, better reporting, and certain advanced analytical tools that we have deployed into the ASC environment. Not surprising given our focus in revenue cycle as a company. That we have done that and it's certainly paying dividends in terms of how we work in that environment on the retail collection side. As you can imagine, these are elective procedures but also on the wholesale collection side all the way from authorization back through accurate documentation and more efficient management of the AR, you know, through technology and offshore capabilities. So we're really pleased with the platform that being built for ASC revenue cycle. Within USPI. Sun Park, do you want to comment on the nature of the guide?
Sun Park:
Yeah. Sure. So, Josh Raskin, in the first half and the second quarter, I think both consistent themes, you know, we've seen high acuity, good case mix, good payer mix, good growth in some of our key case lines, service lines, including ortho and total joints. So all the trends that we've discussed previously, I think continue in USPI for the second quarter. That's why you saw the strong net revenue overall growth of 7.7% as well as the strong net revenue per case. So and then I think good operating expense management, so we demonstrated a 39.2% EBITDA margin in the second quarter as well. So I think all those trends apply for both Q1 and Q2, which is all in about a $50 million increase versus our prior guidance. And then, you know, general expectations is for those trends to continue into the second half, which is part of the guidance raised for the remaining full year. I think, you know, we also remain positive on our M&A activity. In terms of contribution. As Saumya Sutaria noted in his opening statement, we expect to exceed our $250 million, you know, baseline assumption for USPI M&A. I think all those things contribute to the guidance raise.
Operator:
Thank you. Our next question comes from Andrew Mok with Barclays.
Andrew Mok:
Hi, good morning. Just wanted to ask about the volumes. There's a little bit of deceleration there in both the inpatient and adjusted admissions in the quarter. You took down the guidance by, I think, 50 basis points. Volumes impacted by any discrete items in the quarter or anything else to kind of call out driving some of the deceleration for the quarter and the full year? Thanks.
Saumya Sutaria:
Hey. Well, first of all, I think the guidance is just simply reflecting the math that would play out for the rest of the year. Now it's a strong quarter. I mean, we had strong volumes, the right acuity, and mix, and very much reflects the focus on our service lines as we have prioritized them. So I don't think there's anything particularly unusual other than seasonality.
Operator:
Alright. Thank you. Our next question comes from Matthew Gillmor with KeyBanc Capital Markets. Please proceed with your question.
Matthew Gillmor:
Hey. Thanks for the question. Wanted to ask about payer contracting. There's a lot of different dynamics creating pressure on payers. Has there been any discernible shift in terms of your negotiation with payers? Are you still getting the normal updates you'd expect, and is there anything to report with respect to denial activity?
Saumya Sutaria:
Yeah. Well, a couple of things. First of all, you know, obviously, different parts of the sector at various times certainly go through their ups and downs. And you know, I think our philosophy most importantly with the health plans, both the national plans and state-based plans, is to work consistently to create value in what we do in our level of pricing and our negotiations, and also to create predictability for both sides over a multiyear period. I mean, I think that's, you know, ultimately what's probably most important on both sides so that each party can then manage their own operations. And we have extended that philosophy over the last few years into the next wave of contracts. I think most people were aware that there are a number of contracts that are coming up and we're not seeing anything unusual in and certainly no change in our guidance with respect to the way that we have been negotiating our contracts. But again, I think that's because, you know, we're committed to the value that we provide there both from the standpoint of our highly efficient ambulatory business, but also working in an environment with reasonable and predictable rate increases so that we can focus on managing our own operations. The denials activity and it's really not just denial, it's kind of the disputes, documentation requests, denials, etcetera. Have ramped up over the past few years post-COVID to levels that are, I would argue, not acceptable in some cases. And we have adapted. Obviously, this is part of Conifer's job is to adapt and learn to respond to those things. In the early days, the responses, you know, were driving up expenditures. You know, today, as we have evolved and realized this is a new normal, we have of course deployed more technology, more automation, trained up more offshore staff and other things to be able to respond to those types of requests and activities in a more efficient and, I would argue, more effective manner. We track things like our yield relative to the volume or dollars that we're disputed or denied, and you know, I think Conifer is doing well there for both ourselves and for our clients. Relative to the overall industry. You can see it in our results and I think that translates across the board. And so you know, this is a constant battle with respect to what's appropriate there and obviously, we welcome, you know, both regulation and other things that would support a reduction of some of that what we consider inappropriate activity.
Operator:
Got it. Thank you. Our next question comes from Justin Lake with Wolfe Research. Please proceed with your question.
Justin Lake:
Thanks. Good morning. First, I just want to follow-up on A.J. Rice's question. I do understand that the industry is lobbying for an extension of these subsidies and how important that could be to a lot of folks. But is there a framework that the company can share with us in terms of how to think about the potential impact to 2026 earnings if those subsidies do go away and then sticking with that DC stuff. Maybe you can give us an update on the provider tax run rate you're seeing in 2025? Versus, I think, the previous guidance was about $1.1 billion. And have you analyzed and have anything to share with us in terms of the impact of if that, you know, the bill that just passed does get rolled out with the impact to DPP could be over time. Those provider taxes tax.
Saumya Sutaria:
Yeah. Hey, Justin Lake. So we don't have any comments about 2026 at this stage, and certainly all of the work and effort is focused on helping stakeholders realize again how important the exchanges are for families who utilize them, including, you know, those that came off of Medicaid from a Medicaid redetermination standpoint over the last few years. It's very much my belief that because of the existence of the exchanges and the subsidies for the people who don't have very high income levels as Medicaid redetermination proceeded, the exchanges were a critical safety net for the individuals who needed health care insurance to have a landing spot and it created what I consider a pretty smooth Medicaid redetermination process because of the availability of those insurance options for individuals and families that needed it. And so that in addition to the fact that, you know, the exchanges represent critical support for small businesses that are unable to provide broad-based insurance coverage options to their employees, which supports obviously a very large part of the economy, represents two of the most important prongs of the conversation around why it's important to extend these subsidies, not the least of which is that it affects red states more than blue states. Given the nature of the administration and congress today, that's also an important fact. So to more than just look, I think the work is ongoing in that area. I think it's important and I think it's important for our industry. It affects other parts of our sector, but it also affects the macro economy through the support for small businesses, which helps to make them more competitive in the US economy at large. The current situation and bill that passed a lot of the impacts as you know, have been pushed out pretty far, you know, into the very, very end of 2027 or really 2028. From that standpoint. And we really don't have any insight into how this will be implemented. There are new legislative proposals that have already come up attempting to rescind some parts of the OBBB, which are in play in congress, and I think it just, you know, it remains an area of significant uncertainty and we don't have any sort of projections to provide from that standpoint, especially because we're talking about, again, as I said, out to 2028. Sun Park, do you want to cover there was a question in there about the DPP programs?
Sun Park:
Yeah. Let me just clarify that, Justin Lake. So for Q2 of 2025, we recorded about $350 million of total Medicaid supplemental payments. So for the first half of this year, we're at about the $675 million range. Now we have pointed out some one-timers. So once you normalize for that, in the first half of the year, our run rate for the full year is right around the $1.1, $1.2 billion range that we previously discussed.
Justin Lake:
Thanks.
Operator:
Our next question comes from Sarah James with Cantor Fitzgerald. Please proceed with your question.
Sarah James:
Thank you. I just wanted to circle back to what went on with the volume guide down. I understand seasonality and just the math of the quarter impact on the year, but what actually changed in this quarter or in your view of the year? Are there certain like segments or...
Saumya Sutaria:
Well, the most important thing that you know, we would be focused on that happened in the second quarter was, as I said earlier, the strength and success of our high acuity strategy that has been in place for multiple years continuing to demonstrate in this market the ability to generate revenue and earnings across our hospital portfolio. I mean, that's really at the end of the day, that's the most notable and important trend in the second quarter, which is that that strategy continues to deliver results.
Operator:
Thank you. Please proceed with your question. Our next question comes from Stephen Baxter with Wells Fargo.
Stephen Baxter:
Yeah. Hi. Thanks. Just to follow-up on Justin Lake's questions. I wanted to ask about the jump-off point for EBITDA this year. Is it as simple as, you know, removing the out-of-period Medicaid supplemental EBITDA? I think it's $79 million this quarter and $40 million with the first quarter. Or are there any other meaningful areas to consider whether they're Medicaid supplemental payments or other sort of one-time contributors to the year that you should think about as we're bridging to 2026? Thank you.
Saumya Sutaria:
We're not making any comments about 2026 nor are we commenting on headwinds and tailwinds yet. For the following year.
Operator:
Our next question comes from Ben Hendrix with RBC Capital Markets. Please proceed with your question.
Ben Hendrix:
Thank you very much. Just a quick follow-up on the acuity trends that you're seeing. Appreciate that the revenue per show is stronger acuity trends there, and that's consistent with your strategy. But, also, just wanted to square that with the hospital inpatient surgeries being down. Just a little more detail on where you're seeing that stronger case mix and how that's kind of translating into the stronger rates on the hospital side? Thanks.
Saumya Sutaria:
Yeah. I mean, our strength in cardiovascular, orthopedic, spine, neurosurgery, broad-based general surgery, robotics. I mean, those are all the areas that, you know, we continue to focus on in terms of our work. Now I would add to that emergency-driven trauma and trauma surgery as you know, we have a lot of very large urban emergency departments that have built trauma capabilities in order to service patients in need of trauma. And finally, you know, as we have indicated over the past few years, our transfer strategy always being willing to accept any patient from any outlying hospital, you know, as long as we have the services available to help them, we have been committed to providing that help. And, obviously, many of those patients tend to be sicker and may require more complex surgery. So all of those things have been contributors to the results from what we describe as a high acuity strategy. Of course.
Operator:
Our next question comes from Whit Mayo with Laurent Partners. Please proceed with your question.
Whit Mayo:
Thanks. Just one quick clarification. I was wondering if you could comment briefly on how much your medical case mix did increase in the quarter and if it changed much from prior trends. But my real question is, looking at the EBITDA growth at USPI. Is there any way to quantify the contract covenant, just wondering if those are contributing to any of the growth still. Thanks.
Saumya Sutaria:
Well, case mix acuity was up. I'm not sure exactly what you're asking. Sun Park, you may want to comment more specifically on that question. I mean, but consistent with what we're saying about acuity, case mix index was up. That's referring to the hospital segment. On the USPI side, you know, the revenue growth that we see obviously in a very dynamic business comes from all sorts of things including same-store growth, volume growth, our payer contract annual escalators, rostering of new facilities onto our managed care contracts as part of our network strategy of having an alliance of high quality, reliable centers, all of that contributes to the revenue growth. But that's why we provide the total revenue growth and also the same-store revenue growth so that one can differentiate between those. And I think all of that data is consistent with, you know, both with the success of the high acuity strategy, but also, you know, we're consistently performing in revenue growth above our long-term trend, which has been very positive for USPI.
Sun Park:
Yeah. And so just your, I'm sorry, Whit Mayo, your question on the case mix, we're up about 1%. And obviously, if you look at a longer period of time, that growth would be more significant based on acuity.
Whit Mayo:
Good. Thanks.
Operator:
Our next question comes from Pito Chickering with Deutsche Bank. Please proceed with your question.
Pito Chickering:
Hey, good morning guys. Thanks for taking my question. Nice quarter here. DSOs trended down nicely, even the lowest that I've ever seen with you guys. Can you talk about cash collections, what have you done differently? Or the parents doing something differently and from a cash flow perspective, should we continue with the models for the bulk of the cash flow going into repo with some M&A in there. So you can buy back around ten plus percent of your market cap each year while still delevering. Is that the right way to think about it?
Saumya Sutaria:
Yes. Well, okay. Just two separate things. Sun Park, do you want to start with the second one and then go back into the revenue cycle question?
Sun Park:
Yeah. Sure. So, Pito Chickering, yeah, we obviously have very strong free cash flow performance, have increased our guidance for free cash flow after NCI, you know, up $195 million. You know, I would say the other notable piece obviously, is the amount of share repurchases we completed in the second quarter of this year, where it was a substantial increase from our normal trends. You know, I would say looking forward, our capital allocation priorities haven't changed. Right? USPI, M&A, hospital CapEx for high acuity strategy, and then, maintaining our deleveraged balance sheet, and a balanced share repurchase approach. It's hard to predict what our run rate share repurchase activity will be in the next quarter, the second half of this year into 2026. I think that'll depend on, you know, tax and circumstances. But, you know, I do believe our free cash flow and financial performance and balance sheet flexibility will afford us to make the right decisions as those things come.
Saumya Sutaria:
Yeah. Look, in summary, on the first part of the question, as the industry has trended up, overall, in terms of denials and also the times to collect given some of the dispute and back and forth on documentation requests and other things. We've remained very focused on trying to keep that as tight as possible using technology automation. I mean, you know, one of the advantages that Conifer has is an incredibly standardized workflow that is really critical to not only collections, but also timely collections. In an environment where those time frames have been increasing for a long period of time. We're obviously, as we've talked about before, supplementing some of those capabilities that we have today that used to be manual with AI-enabled technologies that allow us to produce more rapid automated responses to various types of disputes, based upon pattern recognition that you would see from various sources that allow us to do that more effectively. That makes what we're doing more reliable, but also as you're pointing out sort of faster. The other thing I would say about this environment in which, you know, we talk a lot about some of it's highly inappropriate, the dispute denial activity and as I said earlier, I think it's also important that we spend our time being committed to very accurate documentation and coding. And I think one of the things that Conifer does well is produce accurate documentation and coding and that has a tendency to also reduce the dispute activity to some extent from the health plans. Right? I mean, it is a two-way street in the end. And both parties have to perform in that truth. And that speeds up collections to some extent. So anyway, I said this earlier and I'll let it be. Adapting to the current environment from a collection standpoint is a critical capability that we have developed, and that capability has moved from being manual when it first started to increase to much more technology-driven and workflow automation-driven.
Pito Chickering:
Great. Thanks so much.
Operator:
Our next question comes from Benjamin Rossi with JPMorgan Chase. Please proceed with your question.
Benjamin Rossi:
Good morning. Thanks for the question here. Just as a follow-up on your ACH exchange volumes, with your reported hospital length stay down, call it, 3% year over year and the ACA exchange volumes up 28% during Q2. Is there any additional detail you can provide on procedural mix or life stay across those exchange-based volumes? We've just been getting some comments from prominent payers in recent weeks regarding the elevated trend there across that group. So just curious if there are any particular areas that were contributors to that Q2 growth figure or if it was more broad-based across all specialties for your ACA exchange book, thanks.
Saumya Sutaria:
Yeah. I don't think there's been anything unusual in this quarter versus prior quarters with respect to the exchange volumes. I mean, remember the one thing I would say is the exchange business tends to behave similar to the Medicaid business more than the commercial business in the sense that a disproportionately larger amount of it is emergency department driven may still come with higher acuity, but it tends to be more emergency department driven. That's why, you know, the USPI segment. The impact of the exchanges on our business is higher in the hospital segment versus even though it's present in both. But I don't think that I noticed anything unusual about the nature of the exchange volumes, this quarter. Sun Park, is there anything you would point out there?
Sun Park:
No. I think you're right, Saumya Sutaria. It's pretty consistent with prior mix overall.
Saumya Sutaria:
Okay. Got it.
Operator:
Our next question comes from Ryan Langston with TD Cowen. Please proceed with your question.
Ryan Langston:
Thanks. Good morning. SWB continues to run pretty favorably. I mean, I assume as you achieve these levels, this becomes kind of the new baseline expectation to your operators. But I guess the question is how much more opportunity do you see on SWB? And I guess what types of initiatives can you execute on to keep up sort of this level of performance?
Saumya Sutaria:
Well, obviously, effective labor management has been a strength of our organization, not just recently, but over the last few years. We stay focused on the various parameters that drive demand. Obviously, length of stay, the acuity, the day-to-day productivity, and accurate staffing needs that we have in our hospitals. But at the same time from a supply standpoint, you know, we've really, I think, benefited from improved recruiting strategies, relationships with some terrific nursing schools around the country, where we've created good opportunities for their students and graduates to work in our environments, and also improving our retention rates as a result of what we've done. We found that making investments and we have made real investments in our nursing and overall hospital management director and other supervisor levels with special recognitions and other things that have been ongoing for multiple years because we see the value that they provide in terms of creating a stable and effective workforce for patient care, that has been an important part of what we have done over the last few years, and recognizing their efforts. So, I mean, I think, look, all of those things are sustainable strategies and all of them contribute to the improvements that we've made both in our efficiencies and effectiveness there.
Operator:
Thanks. Our next question comes from John Ransom with Raymond James. Please proceed with your question.
John Ransom:
Hey, good morning. I'm going to ask Saumya Sutaria a question. He's like, answer. When he's got an answer, I'll ask him another question. Do you think that now that we've gotten the bill behind us and we know the nose, is the environment if you're able to sell any more hospitals, is the environment they go out such that that's more profitable now?
Saumya Sutaria:
I, you know, John Ransom, I'm not sure how to answer that question. We don't comment on asset sales and anything that we may be looking at there. We're pretty happy with the portfolio. It's obviously performing. Based upon, you know, the last couple of years in the post-transaction environment. I don't know how to comment on whether the broader industry has fully understood the implications for them of the OBBB or anything else that may come, you know, I would take this opportunity to reiterate that our view from what we have seen so far in the external landscape related to legislation regulation, etcetera, Washington essentially, it, you know, we think about this pretty carefully. It has not changed our commitment to our core strategy. As it stands right now. And so I feel good about that. Looking forward.
John Ransom:
Yeah. So you let me write to my other question. What now that this bill is behind us, what are your current legislative and lobbying priorities at DC? Then where are you gonna send your time, miss?
Saumya Sutaria:
The most important area right now as I said, both for the health care industry, for the insurance industry, and importantly, we think now that we have an understanding of how important these exchanges are for small businesses, and keeping and remaining a competitive workforce for small businesses in America is engaging in dialogue about mechanisms to extend the exchange subsidies.
Operator:
Our final question comes from Kevin Fischbeck with Bank of America. Please proceed with your question.
Kevin Fischbeck:
Alright. Great. Thanks. I guess, to understand a little bit more of the commentary on hospital volumes and the payer mix. I guess how much of the payer mix improvement that you're seeing is because of exchange growth? If we took exchanges out, would you still be talking about improved payer mix to the same degree? And then when we think about the volume outlook, the volume outlook being lower you guys have always had a different view on volume, so it's hard to kinda tell what how much is this high acuity strategy versus underlying demand? Do you have a sense of what underlying demand growth was in the quarter? Was it consistent with where Q1 was or did it decelerate similar to how your overall volumes decelerated from Q1 to Q2? Thanks.
Saumya Sutaria:
Yeah. A couple of things. One is, you know, commercial mix was strong. And as I indicated earlier, maybe another way of describing that. I mean, the obviously, the growth that Sun Park described in the exchanges indicates that some of that mixed strength is definitely on the payer mix side, is definitely coming from the exchanges and this is again, going back to the importance of the exchanges as a landing spot as Medicaid redetermination has worked its way through the overall system. It's been an important landing spot. And then finally, no. I mean, I think look. Underlying demand in this environment is still strong on a macro basis. I mean, it wouldn't be the case that we would be able to lose significant amounts of underlying what you would call general med surg emergency department, etcetera, demand and exist solely on a high acuity strategy. Right? The high acuity strategy is meant to support the types of margin expansion and growth that we have seen on an efficient basis in the hospital segment and the margin expansion in the hospital segment over the last twelve and we're just looking over the last twelve months or even over the last three to four years has been significant. And that's really what the strategy has helped support but I don't think it's worth making anything of, you know, one single quarter especially when you have seasonal trends and quarter to quarter trends and, you know, ramp on and ramp off of respiratory illness and other things I think this will play itself out over time. The underlying demand environment, you know, when you compare it to a multiyear basis still seems strong to me.
Operator:
Okay. Great. Thanks. We have reached the end of the question and answer session, and this concludes today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time and we thank you for your participation.

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